TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe519…2f48backed Yes0c25,512$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.291136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes34c20,000$6,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.963860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c9,038$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No67c6,888$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.121827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c6,211$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.552,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No67c3,200$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c2,250$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Yes33c2,010$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.292339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c1,984$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.845341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes2c1,709$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30336.1%2 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c1,388$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.1240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,203$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.2298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes33c1,121$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes33c1,029$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.818042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff52…9138backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c825$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c679.47$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes11c614.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.612025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked Yes15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes15c515.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c499.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c424.77$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c424.66$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c404.82$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5916251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No66c322.73$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.73988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c314.68$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8518951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…dacabacked Yes34c244.12$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Yes33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes34c224.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.212649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes6c218.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No68c185.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.173129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd268…4537backed Yes34c183.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448f…fcc3backed No67c178.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes12c171.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6117651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes24c169.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe848…6220backed Yes34c167.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa086…5df5backed Yes34c166.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f1…e6f4backed No67c164.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbb…f7d1backed Yes34c149.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf038…e718backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf7…e19cbacked No67c137.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c127.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2912929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes32c117.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.525424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c116.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c114.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes11c110.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes35c105.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8310451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c101.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72c…ec8ebacked Yes33c101.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115030%15 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…b920backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes32c99.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Yes12c96.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2400…922cbacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…539bbacked Yes34c87.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes32c76.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6313840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9c…4ef6backed Yes35c69.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…99f7backed Yes22c67.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes34c61.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.084247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc12f…8973backed Yes23c61.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f8…73b4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.815844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4116…819cbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.679944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.513350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No67c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5813160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes32c47.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c43.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d1…bbe5backed Yes33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.