TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x366c…539b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.9%+$26.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.1%+$26.17
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55.01
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.8%+$21.13
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+101.5%+$40.6
Valorant: TYLOO vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Liquid vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37.6%+$26.3
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+111.4%+$33.42
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+45.5%+$34.13
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.6%+$44.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.