TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01c7…e995backed Yes2c16,971$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.41,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes4c10,618$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.824,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes12c7,162$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.29640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c5,050$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes12c4,462$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes6c4,177$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes11c3,780$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.821,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9b…c3edbacked Yes12c3,003$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked Yes13c2,262$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.061926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes12c2,212$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes5c1,961$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked Yes12c1,958$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes13c1,931$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521a…043abacked Yes13c1,800$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes4c1,674$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9556…526dbacked Yes12c1,663$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.571020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes13c1,411$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.392035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes3c1,300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Yes11c1,147$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c03…eecdbacked Yes5c1,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes1c900$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.623354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0887…408fbacked Yes5c899.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e4…4e60backed Yes12c830$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes2c799.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x518d…5a2cbacked Yes14c797.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Yes15c691.13$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…8ae5backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Yes12c648.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.881060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes12c624.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.023627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes11c602.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.128229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes10c535.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.514126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes12c499$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.888728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes13c458$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.261323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes13c436.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.943040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes10c420$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8261…47c8backed Yes13c369.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+71.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154a…86b0backed Yes14c366.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes11c349.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes11c346.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes12c337$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Yes15c333.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b53…0addbacked Yes4c325.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…aef1backed Yes12c322.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c320.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x075a…278ebacked Yes10c316.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes11c312.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.391030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+70.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Yes13c296.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd2…b24ebacked Yes9c274$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724e…8c4dbacked Yes13c263.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1407…672abacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb732…9737backed Yes6c248.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick14cpaid+171%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c246.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2059…6952backed Yes12c236$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+53.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5042…f786backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes13c205$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes12c202.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfac3…6d9fbacked Yes12c175.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes15c173.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…539bbacked Yes9c171.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…c688backed Yes13c153.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9511541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes12c138.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes16c138$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes14c134.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.867623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x663c…84edbacked Yes13c133.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…2c2bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe400…9aa9backed Yes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes13c102$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2614540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d15…7a34backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc28…08b9backed Yes13c99.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes11c95.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes12c90.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.