La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39761a1d978e82a45b77b07497cbfd15758efe3de955d4989d3c1f1f13eb9f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33df…337dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 4,581$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 16c | 2,669$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,515$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 16c | 1,485$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 14c | 928.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…18bdbacked Yes | 16c | 700.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 13c | 560$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 9c | 513$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 13c | 492.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 5c | 421.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 12c | 395.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 393$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 7c | 351.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Yes | 13c | 297.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…9be7backed Yes | 13c | 247.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 12c | 218.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…0addbacked Yes | 15c | 209.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 15c | 201.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 172.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 14c | 170.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 168.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 153.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 144.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…b795backed Yes | 14c | 143.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 135.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 14c | 134.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 11c | 127.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…278ebacked Yes | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…1174backed Yes | 14c | 91.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes | 13c | 90.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…7760backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…ff80backed Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.