TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfac3…6d9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.64
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.44
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.04
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.02
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.82
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$79.36
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$168.12
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.2
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.26
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+174%+$37.9
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$36.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+105.8%+$24.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+54.6%+$7.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$102
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Denver Pioneersbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.