TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Nets, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,871,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,705,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,871,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets11c174,015$19,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,986.5948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Nets12c173,796$20,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,855.537941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets12c132,863$15,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,314.7827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Nets11c90,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Nets9c82,828$7,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.0930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets12c70,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4001,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets11c63,183$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,860.1347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Nets11c49,558$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,451.3723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Nets13c45,499$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,821.9812938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets6c37,537$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.874,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets13c30,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets12c26,000$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets1c23,257$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.555213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2d…a8c4backed Nets13c14,453$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets1c14,141$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.833179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Nets10c13,824$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.015813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets12c13,100$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Nets12c12,600$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5123129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Nets12c12,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Nets11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets11c9,999$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.892,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Nets3c8,887$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Nets12c8,449$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.8685248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets1c8,174$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Nets1c7,948$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets10c7,945$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.4836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets12c7,680$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.771,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Nets3c7,377$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.410936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Nets11c7,082$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7794759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Nets12c6,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Nets5c6,379$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8928929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets11c5,997$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.6741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Nets3c5,906$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets2c5,600$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Nets0c5,444$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets6c5,289$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.141,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c4,750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.38820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…c16abacked Nets12c4,209$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.28520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nets2c4,090$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.072165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Nets3c3,998$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016140.4%65 W · 96 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Nets12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets12c3,324$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8848938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets7c3,316$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.11,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…34d7backed Nets8c2,912$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2291872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Nets11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets3c2,625$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nets9c2,621$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2922836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Nets9c2,567$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c2,512$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.627211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Nets14c2,502$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.113642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Nets11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27549142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Nets11c2,280$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.832827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Nets11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Nets14c1,937$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1422857.5%131 W · 97 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Nets12c1,834$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.119443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Nets11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017940.2%72 W · 107 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Nets5c1,667$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9138347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Nets12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed Nets16c1,614$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.819859.2%58 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Nets16c1,579$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5918043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5442…2f88backed Nets12c1,576$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Nets13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75af…5d46backed Nets11c1,396$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.561560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets13c1,350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Nets12c1,325$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0218446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Nets11c1,324$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6469929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Nets11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14352432.6%171 W · 353 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefab…6277backed Nets12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e6…4bfebacked Nets12c1,166$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Nets11c1,136$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.918336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Nets13c1,111$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4343543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Nets12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Nets11c1,040$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Nets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36de…f4a8backed Nets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Nets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets6c934.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ad…499dbacked Nets2c917.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa6…419ebacked Nets11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Nets11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Nets12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10844337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b98…7061backed Nets13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Nets12c870.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4943544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Nets12c865.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Nets12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb45…4972backed Nets14c804$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.562060%12 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets3c700$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.665218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Nets12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ef…afbbbacked Nets12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…e82abacked Nets13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc24a…d39dbacked Nets14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Nets12c584.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7720149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Nets12c551.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4412524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.