NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e0d5169dd698fa94d2e1f705a3c89891ea5ecd34672101066c8c24634e27401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Nets | 55c | 11,811$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…ab70backed Nets | 55c | 5,867$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…263ebacked Nets | 52c | 5,002$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…9da9backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,987$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…ef57backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,811$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…dc34backed Nets | 55c | 3,551$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…ee9abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 3,535$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…dd3dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 3,514$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…eb3cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 3,487$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…c555backed Nets | 55c | 3,454$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…4392backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,447$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…9fa0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,411$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…0f9bbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 3,186$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…e2c2backed Nets | 55c | 3,124$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…4589backed Nets | 55c | 3,121$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770c…c86fbacked Nets | 55c | 2,957$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…7238backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,826$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…72adbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,805$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…b265backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,769$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…22a5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,766$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…e0b8backed Nets | 55c | 2,766$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…9f59backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,738$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,702$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.22 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f7…46cdbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,631$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…f942backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,606$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…0cefbacked Nets | 55c | 2,594$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b7…39b2backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,562$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…3d1dbacked Nets | 55c | 2,558$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…c8fabacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,557$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 54c | 2,485$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd128…1947backed Nets | 55c | 2,444$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…0beabacked Nets | 55c | 2,423$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…efb4backed Nets | 55c | 2,349$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…98c2backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,348$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…35b1backed Nets | 55c | 2,333$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…f27ebacked Nets | 55c | 2,312$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…7d37backed Nets | 55c | 2,291$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…f16abacked Nets | 55c | 2,281$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,260$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…ef38backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,227$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…c145backed Nets | 55c | 2,184$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…49afbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,099$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,085$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…1d3fbacked Nets | 55c | 2,042$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…736abacked Nets | 55c | 2,037$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6667backed Nets | 55c | 2,032$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…7fbbbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,029$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…29e1backed Nets | 55c | 2,017$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…cffebacked Nets | 55c | 2,017$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…facbbacked Nets | 55c | 1,998$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…e071backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,903$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…ffd8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,878$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…93e2backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,846$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07b…5181backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,845$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Nets | 54c | 1,843$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,843$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c170backed Nets | 55c | 1,827$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…93c8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,769$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.02 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00b3backed Nets | 55c | 1,760$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…b6bfbacked Nets | 55c | 1,759$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…f5e6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,753$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…3e98backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,744$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2997backed Nets | 55c | 1,650$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…f01bbacked Nets | 55c | 1,649$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…46c6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,645$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…90a3backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,617$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…8849backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,613$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…d838backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,612$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…86a0backed Nets | 55c | 1,597$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…cc2cbacked Nets | 55c | 1,579$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…1c8ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,565$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…ab32backed Nets | 55c | 1,502$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77f…bf27backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,486$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…69b7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,474$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nets | 41c | 1,437$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.46 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…a2fdbacked Nets | 55c | 1,404$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…7a26backed Nets | 55c | 1,359$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…0936backed Nets | 55c | 1,358$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…febebacked Nets | 55c | 1,341$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…16cabacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,338$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…8ab3backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,337$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…2c0cbacked Nets | 55c | 1,299$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…bfb0backed Nets | 55c | 1,298$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 45c | 1,267$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…0969backed Nets | 57c | 1,249$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…dca7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,249$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…b8a6backed Nets | 55c | 1,248$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nets | 38c | 1,237$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.13 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…16c7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,232$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…1875backed Nets | 55c | 1,177$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…eac6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,170$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…45a4backed Nets | 55c | 1,166$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…5584backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…dc68backed Nets | 55c | 1,159$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f40…ca7fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…3a60backed Nets | 55c | 1,121$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…5aa8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,073$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…e353backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)this page
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.