NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe91ab822cbac0fa917b6bccc988137076bb0acaa2cf5706646c2fe6b3b542d48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6129…0bdebacked Nets | 44c | 7,280$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Cavaliers | 60c | 5,020$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.34 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c8…c855backed Nets | 44c | 4,413$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 40c | 3,951$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…edfebacked Nets | 44c | 3,929$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…d1ecbacked Nets | 44c | 3,782$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…012fbacked Nets | 44c | 3,751$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…a395backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,637$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…c55fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 3,616$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…997fbacked Nets | 44c | 3,536$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…18a9backed Nets | 44c | 3,521$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nets | 41c | 3,296$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.1 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8285…3e77backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,087$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340a…6defbacked Nets | 44c | 3,076$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…5712backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,956$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…84fcbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,910$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…8631backed Nets | 44c | 2,892$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…83bfbacked Nets | 44c | 2,685$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…8cf0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,574$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…8a8abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,351$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…d22abacked Nets | 44c | 2,319$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ef…229cbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…c734backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,036$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…755fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,033$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…fd61backed Nets | 44c | 2,014$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…121ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,012$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c1…769cbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,991$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…4397backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,962$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…7555backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,961$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…48c9backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,878$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…8823backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,805$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…5722backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…822ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…8f7dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,738$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…0b14backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,588$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…3796backed Nets | 44c | 1,549$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5b…a6b2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,546$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…150bbacked Nets | 44c | 1,528$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…7a8bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,504$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…bfd3backed Nets | 44c | 1,462$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…3f6abacked Nets | 44c | 1,462$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad2…1fcfbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,426$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…7dcabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,347$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…78bbbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,306$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bd62backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,283$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…33d8backed Nets | 44c | 1,233$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…7272backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,174$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…ce00backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…b1cabacked Nets | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…7635backed Nets | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…0a40backed Nets | 44c | 1,003$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…b39dbacked Nets | 44c | 975$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…653ebacked Nets | 44c | 951$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…ab39backed Nets | 44c | 919$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…3a60backed Cavaliers | 56c | 865$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 41c | 824.31$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…d811backed Nets | 44c | 810$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…b966backed Nets | 44c | 712$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…9cd4backed Nets | 44c | 705$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…2ea9backed Cavaliers | 56c | 537$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…8f25backed Cavaliers | 56c | 496$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Nets | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 40c | 301.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 60c | 185.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…0c54backed Cavaliers | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 169.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 40c | 157.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Cavaliers | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…6e80backed Cavaliers | 56c | 128$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nets | 41c | 103.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Cavaliers | 58c | 73.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 40c | 71.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 41c | 68.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nets | 40c | 65.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Nets | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Cavaliers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Nets | 43c | 47.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Cavaliers | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Cavaliers | 60c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)this page
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.