NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d8024635346bea2f3debc7b68c1a1c53d89ad02733fce8c138dff0a815f1fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 28,263$13,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,483.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Over | 52c | 21,292$11,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,071.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Under | 47c | 15,841$7,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,395.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 11,821$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.71 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 9,915$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 9,467$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.88 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 7,035$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.09 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,285$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…7654backed Under | 47c | 5,008$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…968bbacked Over | 53c | 4,666$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f543backed Over | 53c | 4,608$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…c197backed Over | 53c | 4,295$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…ab70backed Over | 53c | 4,135$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…47e6backed Under | 47c | 3,916$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c48…ef7abacked Over | 53c | 3,874$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5498backed Under | 47c | 3,699$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 3,559$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a507backed Over | 53c | 3,537$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…7071backed Under | 47c | 3,475$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…1912backed Under | 47c | 3,415$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…0b05backed Under | 47c | 3,392$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecf…b582backed Under | 47c | 3,365$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…4a01backed Over | 53c | 3,325$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…32febacked Under | 47c | 3,273$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 3,160$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.23 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…bf86backed Under | 47c | 3,116$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f11…aeafbacked Under | 47c | 2,871$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…c8e9backed Over | 53c | 2,770$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…6fbcbacked Under | 47c | 2,642$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…1aacbacked Over | 53c | 2,620$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 2,581$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…af00backed Over | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab23…60b1backed Under | 47c | 2,546$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…f3f5backed Over | 53c | 2,434$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…2b2dbacked Over | 53c | 2,373$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…0a98backed Over | 53c | 2,349$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…8993backed Under | 47c | 2,170$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…6f86backed Under | 47c | 2,161$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…cab4backed Over | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…21bcbacked Under | 47c | 2,003$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a0ffbacked Under | 47c | 1,941$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…b7a5backed Under | 47c | 1,874$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…047abacked Under | 47c | 1,858$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…6e75backed Over | 53c | 1,851$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…0d18backed Over | 53c | 1,833$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…93c8backed Over | 53c | 1,778$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…6959backed Over | 53c | 1,778$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…5236backed Under | 47c | 1,762$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…cf44backed Over | 53c | 1,734$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…cdcfbacked Over | 53c | 1,687$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…0638backed Under | 47c | 1,583$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…aa6dbacked Under | 47c | 1,569$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…29e1backed Under | 47c | 1,569$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cc…222abacked Under | 47c | 1,542$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 1,475$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…8052backed Over | 53c | 1,467$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…c3d5backed Over | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…20e7backed Over | 53c | 1,378$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…c802backed Over | 53c | 1,367$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…c668backed Under | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…dcffbacked Over | 53c | 1,361$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f1…2513backed Over | 53c | 1,345$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…bd82backed Over | 53c | 1,318$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c72…7365backed Under | 47c | 1,304$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…45a4backed Over | 53c | 1,285$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa274…f3aabacked Under | 47c | 1,242$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…d5b6backed Over | 53c | 1,234$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…ebeebacked Over | 53c | 1,233$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…b4aebacked Over | 53c | 1,181$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…0f52backed Over | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…cd17backed Over | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,073$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…b425backed Under | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…d602backed Over | 53c | 1,062$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7d7abacked Under | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…dc40backed Over | 53c | 932$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…9545backed Over | 53c | 878$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…4097backed Over | 53c | 849$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…ce53backed Under | 47c | 847$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a9…08a3backed Over | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…5584backed Over | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…cbe8backed Over | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…d980backed Over | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…d599backed Over | 53c | 745$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…ffe1backed Over | 53c | 742$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…f2febacked Over | 53c | 735$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 50c | 718.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.49 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…031cbacked Under | 47c | 702$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…2a3ebacked Over | 53c | 699$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…a83fbacked Under | 47c | 676$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 673.07$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…3f73backed Under | 47c | 662$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…efb4backed Under | 47c | 662$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 75c | 650.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5this page
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.