TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,525,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,657,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,525,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No36c111,768$40,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,562.4458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c110,703$72,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,924.7229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes68c105,569$71,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,894.933357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes68c99,568$67,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,861.643941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c65,021$22,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,566.291,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c64,502$21,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,722.115442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes64c56,008$36,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,924.4412344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes64c46,875$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,8753056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No32c46,037$14,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,897.7610536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes68c45,589$31,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,588.598258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c43,794$15,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,669.7661447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c43,350$15,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,021.8859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No32c36,418$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,659.613843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No32c33,800$10,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8168231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c32,905$21,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,368.8629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes62c29,590$18,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,330.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No34c25,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,499.972729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c24,311$7,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,929.563737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No36c19,858$7,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,098.164351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c19,753$6,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6428836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Yes62c17,027$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,470.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No33c15,745$5,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.861850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No31c15,274$4,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,781.5410443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No32c14,999$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.831735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No32c14,536$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c13,863$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,543.491,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes68c12,500$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No33c12,456$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.46128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No37c11,680$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.4238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No39c11,291$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.386451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c10,649$3,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,620.656442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c10,023$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.495145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No35c10,000$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5259348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.996643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes67c9,995$6,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.353574.3%26 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+57.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes66c8,996$5,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.5812848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c8,071$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.8546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes68c8,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.0418160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No32c7,500$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes73c7,000$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.9921938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c7,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.994323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No33c7,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.967346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No35c6,823$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.3338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No34c6,666$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.442445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ed…7b21backed No59c6,605$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.551060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No42c6,604$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.968259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c6,449$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.7310736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes70c6,277$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.7234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes69c6,000$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8807750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No36c5,556$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c5,443$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.0639443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No32c5,359$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7152532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No36c5,303$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9091330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes47c4,974$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.233145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Yes63c4,925$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.251764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No32c4,769$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.081643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No43c4,224$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.3120948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes59c4,051$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.710742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4004238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.995550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c3,988$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes53c3,834$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.212138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes62c3,817$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.76757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes46c3,765$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.6210628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No34c3,727$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf03d…088cbacked Yes65c3,581$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.415100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+274.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ae…04b2backed Yes58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07f0…afc6backed Yes57c3,458$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes31c3,202$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+56.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes58c3,190$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.74573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes68c3,066$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.18650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78f…dcedbacked No34c3,063$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…def4backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9905100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0808938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4376…c247backed No33c2,985$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No33c2,985$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.912334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No33c2,758$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.2629445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c2,700$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.568523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes22c2,700$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes67c2,695$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.353847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes68c2,665$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.85066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Yes63c2,644$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c2,502$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6214955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes50c2,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2408650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No34c2,491$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No33c2,464$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No34c2,417$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.339341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No34c2,401$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.212236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes58c2,365$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.485858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed No41c2,300$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.813036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.811952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes68c2,157$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.353060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes68c2,032$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.