TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$430,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes14c43,467$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,085.362240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No75c30,958$23,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,759.321090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes59c17,357$10,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,226.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No42c17,041$7,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,935.044647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c16,398$12,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,393.171,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c16,141$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.5743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c15,338$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.312,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes14c10,607$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.956451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes6c10,000$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.241926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes14c6,818$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c6,122$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.7340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes14c4,429$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.998938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked No72c2,930$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.953452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c2,560$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.468523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bd…49f8backed Yes6c2,186$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes5c2,137$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.181414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes52c1,886$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes52c1,852$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.644866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes2c1,711$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.221421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09a…bea0backed Yes4c1,606$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c1,603$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.2561437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes15c1,433$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes31c1,346$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes14c1,240$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.62922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No74c1,230$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb210…ee7dbacked Yes14c1,225$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…58ebbacked Yes25c1,204$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes15c1,167$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes32c1,152$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes14c1,111$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.544042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes14c1,099$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6210431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes42c1,071$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.219754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98b…c7ffbacked Yes57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c1,041$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes5c1,002$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-71.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0898…42d5backed Yes14c990$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes4c982$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.282646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes51c976.48$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50212843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes33c957.8$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.073145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c35…afa8backed Yes2c932.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes26c896$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.963056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes15c887$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.052369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked No66c869.75$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes14c832$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes14c814.71$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.629540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No65c759$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6510849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No75c758.47$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.621752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes53c756.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes25c717.64$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…1e1abacked Yes13c712.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…e1dcbacked Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+87.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes14c699.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes14c664$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.963930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…adbdbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Yes14c620$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.83132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes5c602.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c601.5$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c600$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No50c597.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.56450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…4ef6backed Yes14c590$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes17c582.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…9e54backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6c…ce0ebacked Yes5c571.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes14c560.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7413146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No73c524.1$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.515435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed No68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.711656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Yes28c511.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.621540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes6c502.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes13c500$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes14c500$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes51c494.27$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c459.86$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.949550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes29c447.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.064717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes27c442$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.344770.2%33 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+48.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5be…6a9abacked Yes16c431.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458d…7fdfbacked Yes59c427.08$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes16c425$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1512344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes52c416.04$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.341330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08b3…5a05backed Yes14c415.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c413.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ed…7b21backed Yes53c413.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b08…123dbacked Yes5c380$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Yes51c375$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes14c371.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.986141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ac…e4a5backed Yes14c371.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed No51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes16c367.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.776127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b54…0b79backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+64.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec05…2b59backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.