TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes25c40,010$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes25c16,072$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.077146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c15,688$11,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.2839743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Yes26c8,982$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c7,704$6,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.691,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No78c5,754$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.781662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c5,665$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.7134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No77c5,258$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c4,550$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.7663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes19c4,061$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.835145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c3,000$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes19c2,695$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.053847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c2,495$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes20c2,420$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c2,017$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56020948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes25c2,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9921938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03bd…49f8backed Yes22c1,852$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c1,720$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.51,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes20c1,716$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3383036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c1,519$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5621460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes22c1,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes20c1,470$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes20c1,395$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2796225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes25c1,224$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…0e6dbacked No75c1,100$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+303.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No75c1,003$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes28c847.24$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.674254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+47.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes25c801.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes19c770.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.42470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c681.88$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.937429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes19c637.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.133930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c619.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes19c618.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.899540%38 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes3c611.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.825335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No78c520.7$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Yes20c509.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.72962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes24c424.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe55f…4b98backed Yes24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes20c367.31$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.466127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No78c338.55$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No80c313$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.613349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No78c301$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.229754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…3c26backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes29c296.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862931%9 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c296.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3414650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes8c283.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6404…edbdbacked Yes26c278.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.21833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+84.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No79c251$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d15…f81fbacked Yes26c244$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes23c238.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.673636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes21c235.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4616349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No78c220$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.415936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes29c214.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.143461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes20c209.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.922138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes24c208.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes25c200.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.012733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.173727%10 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc09a…bea0backed Yes15c197.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes19c194.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No78c194.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes26c190.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No78c186.4$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.943748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No76c177.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4612046.7%56 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes20c166$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.26952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes26c163.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.23228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes19c163.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes19c160$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes20c149.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.999644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes20c149.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.867931.6%25 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes19c133$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd778…0ca4backed Yes20c126.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.291942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes20c122.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc689…5f35backed No74c121.7$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes19c116.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.094717%8 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c106$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582969%20 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.