TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,600,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,917,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,600,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,062 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Hornets39c256,410$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,409.939350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Hornets39c200,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,0009043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets61c137,670$83,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,941.2519560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets61c112,694$68,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,743.321,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets38c89,999$34,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,799.3787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hornets39c77,000$30,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,969.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets60c65,000$39,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,199.7551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Rockets62c50,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,00016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hornets40c46,107$18,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,663.9260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets61c40,000$24,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,399.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets40c38,288$15,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,085.6918140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets61c31,132$18,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,934.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets63c28,642$18,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,501.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets60c28,501$17,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,100.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets34c28,180$9,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets61c26,755$16,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,204.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rockets61c26,611$16,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,232.9559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Rockets61c26,150$15,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,951.55646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Rockets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets61c25,000$15,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,35031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets62c25,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,499.9623257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Rockets0c24,897$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets60c24,073$14,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,416.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets26c23,448$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Rockets61c22,232$13,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,561.764052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Hornets39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets30c20,000$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.9719653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hornets80c18,844$15,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.347869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Rockets37c18,448$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.423452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Hornets40c17,005$6,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,202.9919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Rockets60c17,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rockets60c16,272$9,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,763.4617554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets41c16,268$6,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,526.4350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets17c15,530$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.961,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Rockets61c15,164$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2502944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rockets5c15,092$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Hornets67c14,925$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.2310158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets62c12,900$7,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.9995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets38c12,500$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets60c12,425$7,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,420.922,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets61c11,111$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.7124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets61c10,446$6,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,324.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Hornets42c10,354$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,954.0952760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets60c10,229$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x336a…0e3ebacked Hornets40c10,203$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,122.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rockets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets61c9,594$5,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,852.2450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Rockets40c9,583$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.076155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Rockets62c9,267$5,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,745.798961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Rockets60c9,240$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.16848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Rockets29c9,162$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets62c9,045$5,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,566.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Hornets39c9,010$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,496.072040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets61c8,905$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Hornets39c8,404$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,126.442540%10 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets65c8,151$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.4137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Hornets68c8,138$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.181764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Rockets61c7,948$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.7713357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hornets40c7,801$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.4314945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets58c7,800$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.1111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Rockets47c7,698$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,614.2611251.8%58 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets61c7,672$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Rockets33c7,666$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.2638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Rockets5c7,625$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets63c7,156$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.961,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x885a…7d3fbacked Rockets58c7,100$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,117.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Rockets62c7,069$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,382.9945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec9…4d95backed Hornets42c7,049$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Rockets34c7,042$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.2161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets60c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Rockets61c6,984$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2608063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e5…7dadbacked Hornets42c6,890$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Rockets1c6,632$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.164573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca79…e5febacked Hornets42c5,821$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d1…b851backed Rockets58c5,800$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Rockets61c5,628$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.117646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Rockets27c5,583$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets59c5,500$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Rockets61c5,448$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.4835547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets42c5,200$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,99246145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets60c5,133$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.7121549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockets1c5,082$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Rockets14c5,056$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002536%9 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets40c5,050$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bba…10a7backed Rockets60c5,005$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0032934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Rockets1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Rockets58c5,000$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.939162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hornets39c4,996$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.5816440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Hornets41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.055550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rockets58c4,809$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.3555346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets41c4,800$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Rockets62c4,718$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9388347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Hornets40c4,506$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.9691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets60c4,430$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb533…f55abacked Rockets58c4,300$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…1d2fbacked Hornets42c4,290$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hornets61c4,288$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.7589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…8dcdbacked Hornets42c4,280$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.