NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11c42cfb3d1c3d3ae925467fdd415b344105cab7ac450c5e9e336631ad93453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 53c | 33,602$17,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,661.19 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 20,484$9,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,719.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 40c | 20,016$8,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 60c | 7,879$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.45 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 5,807$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 5,119$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.56 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 4,027$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 2,827$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.46 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 2,376$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.87 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…5d81backed Over | 50c | 1,580$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,442$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,160$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,126$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 1,052$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.48 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.33 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 65c | 916$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 799.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 682.71$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.59 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 50c | 595$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 577$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 47c | 525$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 51c | 486.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 62c | 451.17$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 413.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 412.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 391.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 50c | 355$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 153.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 124.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…4dddbacked Over | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 56c | 103.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 52c | 101.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 93.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 77.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 54c | 51.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Under | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 46.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 51c | 43.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…4df5backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 52c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…636fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. RocketsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.