NBA · resolved market
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fab546413788468c98212eb3ca05922f6b961df336291f0a4b2d39e722c19ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.78 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 48c | 2,445$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.21 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…f61abacked No | 52c | 1,815$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 52c | 1,621$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.08 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked No | 52c | 982$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.64 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 52c | 934.83$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.11 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 53c | 650$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed No | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed No | 52c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. RocketsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.