NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53be032bdf6df4c19c35e4bf6dae2a964ede9c7cddb21ee1d8e9961216148275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 46c | 22,283$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,180.91 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 8,888$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.55 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 4,971$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 4,521$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 52c | 3,717$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 3,610$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 3,376$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.18 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 2,138$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 999$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 857.51$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 58c | 551.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 52c | 498.31$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 368.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 55c | 357.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 330.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Over | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 251.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 48c | 241.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 210.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 53c | 198$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 160.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 58c | 148.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 103.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 48c | 79.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 76.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 61.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 59.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 42.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 63c | 38.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 33.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Over | 47c | 22.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Hornets vs. RocketsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Hornets won
- Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.