NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50521dc1bf7d4546b92b4f22ae1bd12e045ef5e7c10bafd19e9b3667464b59e8

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Rockets, Hornets
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,335 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	50c	19,394$9,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,709.66	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets	54c	17,506$9,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,393.24	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…b1e0backed Hornets	47c	14,912$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,911.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets	47c	8,270$3,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,367.24	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	50c	4,558$2,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,279.54	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Hornets	52c	4,167$2,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.16	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets	51c	2,921$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Hornets	47c	2,553$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.19	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Hornets	46c	2,400$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Rockets	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Rockets	51c	2,059$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.87	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Hornets	49c	2,020$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.25	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Hornets	46c	2,000$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.59	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets	52c	1,948$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.24	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets	52c	1,917$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.53	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets	53c	1,415$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	45c	1,348$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.1	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets	55c	1,300$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.96	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Hornets	50c	1,176$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets	67c	1,163$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.9	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Rockets	50c	1,149$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.29	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Hornets	52c	1,030$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.5	207	54.1%112 W · 95 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Rockets	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	52c	992.08$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.68	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets	55c	990$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.5	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Rockets	55c	971$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.84	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Rockets	55c	750$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.5	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets	46c	653$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.62	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets	54c	633$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.17	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets	51c	603.96$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.56	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets	48c	572.92$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	46c	422.48$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.75	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hornets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	38c	391.42$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.29	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Rockets	7c	350$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets	54c	312$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.48	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets	51c	300.01$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.01	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Rockets	54c	296.3$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Rockets	51c	270.3$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.75	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	49c	268.22$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.53	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets	47c	255.31$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.31	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets	46c	252.75$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.48	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Hornets	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.74	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	54c	249$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.46	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Hornets	47c	246.48$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.83	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Rockets	49c	244.04$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.58	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets	45c	214.38$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.91	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed Rockets	20c	203$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hornets	50c	200.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.3	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f2…e2d7backed Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Rockets	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Rockets	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Hornets	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets	54c	185.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	45c	185$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.75	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets	50c	169.31$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.84	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Rockets	55c	167.27$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Rockets	50c	163.81$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.86	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets	51c	159.97$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.13	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	48c	154.45$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.6	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Rockets	55c	140$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Rockets	51c	137.25$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets	48c	111.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.04	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Rockets	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets	48c	101$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.74	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Rockets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockets	48c	99.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Rockets	51c	99.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rockets	27c	94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Rockets	52c	90.04$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Rockets	25c	89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Hornets	46c	86.64$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rockets	40c	85.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Hornets	51c	85.17$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rockets	50c	68$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets	59c	66$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Hornets	52c	64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rockets	23c	58.19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hornets	49c	51.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets	48c	50.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.37	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Rockets	55c	47.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets	50c	43.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.92	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets	51c	42.9$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.02	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Rockets	49c	40.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Rockets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Rockets	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Rockets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Rockets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Rockets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Hornets	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Rockets	34c	31.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Rockets	48c	31.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Rockets	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Hornets	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Rockets	50c	29.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Rockets	54c	29.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hornets	48c	29.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Rockets	53c	28.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)this page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Hornets vs. RocketsHornets won
Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Hornets vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Tari Eason: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event