TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over53c55,874$29,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,439.751,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c51,937$24,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,942.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over51c44,801$22,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,892.319350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Over53c28,704$15,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,212.634151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c24,773$11,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,966.692,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c22,798$10,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,083.5127747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c21,216$10,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,020.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c15,993$8,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,301.381,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c12,392$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,484.851,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c7,585$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c6,364$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.5532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c4,389$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.842,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c4,003$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under47c3,840$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.213357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c3,000$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.098651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c2,504$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,002$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c1,837$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over63c1,832$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over62c1,710$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.313,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c1,664$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.582,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,563$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under53c1,246$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.6225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c1,137$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.1515147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c1,096$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.161,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over47c1,032$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.919647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c818.01$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c788.3$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.582,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c784.12$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.611,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c700.65$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.472,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c587.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8522055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c504.15$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.241,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over52c499.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9945647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Under53c433.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4f…b4b5backed Under51c426.29$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over48c423.32$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1917233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under49c408.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Over54c401.09$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under58c388.52$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.881,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under33c348.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d5…af59backed Over48c335.42$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c310.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over51c298.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.372,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under53c251.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.961,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under21c246.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c242.78$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.712,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Over71c207.7$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under48c207.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c193.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under48c164.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5833730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under47c159.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.84959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under53c142.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2159144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under43c134.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c124.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0620949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c117.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c111.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.761,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under58c106$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2838540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.917057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under53c84.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.071,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c80.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Under52c73.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.774254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Under15c69.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over71c68.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4819050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under42c63.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.931,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.824442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c59.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.081,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under30c55.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under49c51.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2345460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under47c51.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1125143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc054…7877backed Over69c43.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c42.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.