TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c80,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,199.8332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over48c34,927$16,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,873.99350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over49c20,400$9,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9967240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c15,383$7,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,537.516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c5,084$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c4,646$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.571,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c4,479$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c4,088$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c3,063$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c2,745$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.861,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,852$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over63c1,563$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,413$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,325$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over51c1,319$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over49c1,260$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.44362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c1,155$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7215147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,154$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Over49c1,086$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under53c1,016$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7311048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3790…f78fbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb6…9c79backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under35c854.37$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.341,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c785.75$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.732,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c686$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.141,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c660$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.742,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over50c538.29$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27118241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c493.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under51c487.5$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.921,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c454.42$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.411,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c411.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over49c321$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2954351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c308.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.052,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under52c292.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.395437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under40c250.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0548956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c246$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over49c228.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.919150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c195.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c156.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under52c145.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under52c126.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.528344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3d…76a2backed Over50c100.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c96.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c91.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.731,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over55c77.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under52c60.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.093946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under52c58.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8738347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over51c46.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under52c45.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7120149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under52c42.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under52c41.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9501…4dccbacked Under51c38.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over48c38.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under51c35.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.085942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc35…91ddbacked Over49c34.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.095255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under52c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4920352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.817750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under52c29.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3311755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Over49c29.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.548960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over50c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.861,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c27.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.133,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under52c25.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2212752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over44c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under52c23.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1211752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under52c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.119753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c22.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over50c22.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3117155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under52c22.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7612541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under50c20.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4625143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under52c19.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.248653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.