TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc35…91dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.76
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+99.3%+$26.24
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.63
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$37.79
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+101.9%+$41.2
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$103.35
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.04
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.52
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.44
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+213.4%+$59.08
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.12
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$28.64
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.39
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.23
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.14
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+99.4%+$16.22
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$167.51
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.31
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.66
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$29.14
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+80.8%+$10.86
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.4%+$20.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+133.3%+$22.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+98.6%+$14.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.52
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41%+$8.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.7%+$8.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.