TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c19,725$9,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,755.7244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Over51c18,050$9,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,844.595139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under52c15,380$7,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.557638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c14,905$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c12,183$5,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,320.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c9,385$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c6,600$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c6,000$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c5,596$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c5,192$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c5,022$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over50c5,019$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.8785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c4,856$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.9284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c4,400$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.511,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c4,209$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over49c4,126$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.095547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c3,257$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over48c3,250$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over49c3,095$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.829352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c2,739$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.451,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c2,491$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under52c2,468$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.681560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under9c2,154$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c2,065$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,920$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Over49c1,847$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.948765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,670$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c1,623$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.771,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c1,328$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.281,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,288$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c1,261$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.941,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6729347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50034855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under49c992.15$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4122140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under12c769$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.47334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under51c709.9$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c570.04$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7238251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c548.93$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.423,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c467.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8316347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over49c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20420237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over51c393.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.17460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c388.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.061,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under3c385.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c357.78$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over74c345.25$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2732952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14766645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c282$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over48c275.72$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3740546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c273$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.232,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over49c246$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under43c216.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over59c189.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.152,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c163.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.912,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c154.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0615154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a0…4bfdbacked Over66c151.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c136.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.41,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over56c135.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.455932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over49c123$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7356547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c113.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c106$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Over69c102.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.176336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Over52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.064348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c86.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under51c84.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under51c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3128243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under30c75.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.961,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over50c72.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under51c67.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.828456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c66.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0941556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under51c66.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over67c59.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.691,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over48c58.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3311949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over48c58.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.255263.5%33 W · 19 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+68.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.