NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b13a9cc5d0b1afcabcfc2dcf9845053b766f91fcf6b2168cdcd7ba0764f1b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Clippers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Clippers | 0c | 53,830$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Magic | 35c | 6,406$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.65 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 52c | 5,295$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Magic | 49c | 5,122$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.59 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 4,736$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Clippers | 51c | 4,415$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.41 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Clippers | 53c | 4,079$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.88 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 63c | 3,821$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 65c | 3,084$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,038$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,579$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Magic | 42c | 1,501$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.76 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Magic | 50c | 722$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.69 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 49c | 632.55$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 52c | 303.21$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 48c | 300.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Magic | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Magic | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Magic | 49c | 270.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Magic | 49c | 250.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Clippers | 65c | 226.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 43c | 219.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Clippers | 52c | 190.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 49c | 177.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers | 61c | 164.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers | 22c | 151.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 50c | 151.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Magic | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 68c | 146.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Clippers | 54c | 138.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Magic | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Magic | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Magic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Magic | 51c | 100.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…be23backed Clippers | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Clippers | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…5069backed Magic | 35c | 85.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 47c | 63.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…4a87backed Clippers | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Clippers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Magic | 45c | 52.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Clippers | 65c | 51.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Clippers | 53c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Clippers | 61c | 41.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Magic | 52c | 38.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 65c | 34.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Clippers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Clippers | 59c | 32.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Magic | 40c | 30.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Magic | 44c | 28.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Magic | 47c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Clippers | 60c | 27.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 46c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Magic | 48c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Magic | 44c | 24.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Clippers | 65c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. ClippersMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.