TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Clippers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Clippers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers52c31,181$16,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,321.891,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic47c24,110$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,859.621,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Magic54c19,141$10,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,805.51,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Clippers52c18,786$9,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,768.6129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Magic52c18,669$9,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,027.3312740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Magic54c9,238$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.549250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Magic48c9,190$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.81,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Clippers54c8,422$4,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,547.8325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers49c8,170$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers53c7,801$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.452,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers46c5,264$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers48c4,768$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Magic50c4,100$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03212056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers50c3,383$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers48c3,018$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.142,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Magic47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic47c2,677$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.0270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers47c2,625$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.7571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Clippers54c2,433$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.8420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Clippers48c2,283$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0968765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic53c2,120$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.781,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Magic47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Clippers52c1,906$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic49c1,811$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic51c1,685$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.191,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Magic46c1,635$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.7815141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Magic48c1,600$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers48c1,343$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers45c1,285$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers50c1,253$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.635,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Magic49c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.6122140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Clippers46c1,080$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Magic53c993.52$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.951,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic48c900.32$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers55c892$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers52c854.45$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.311,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Magic54c814.08$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7228838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Magic44c790.23$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5313041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Magic45c632$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.620355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Magic52c580$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.415154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Magic53c579.01$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1317042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Clippers53c568.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Magic44c553.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.942348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers46c530.21$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Magic48c500.46$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.212,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Clippers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Magic52c384$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers47c383.77$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Clippers50c376.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Clippers53c372.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Magic52c349.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6810949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Clippers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Magic46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic45c269.65$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Magic50c246$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.631,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c236.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.373,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Clippers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked Clippers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers46c196.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Magic51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Clippers56c166.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Clippers17c161$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic47c149.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.031,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Clippers49c148$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1228056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Magic43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers49c139.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers47c119.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Clippers51c115.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Magic53c109.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.078456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Clippers51c109.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Clippers46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Clippers52c98.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.211,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Clippers55c83.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4716947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Clippers50c80.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Clippers50c77.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6716725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Magic58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Clippers51c65.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.230151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a9…2f1fbacked Magic61c62.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Clippers52c60.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3416052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Magic51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Magic46c59.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.314647.9%70 W · 76 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Magic43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1427359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Magic45c57.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Magic53c56.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8437852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers49c55.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.191,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers46c53.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Clippers56c53.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Magic57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Magic48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Magic47c45.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Magic55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4512151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Magic52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c82…dca9backed Clippers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x826c…5390backed Clippers52c38.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Clippers58c38.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Clippers58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.