NBA · resolved market
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c80bab399f7e474c93d325e271b491cea8e8cbeddc910c8f12540b67bb05ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 63c | 6,047$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.94 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Yes | 35c | 2,801$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.22 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 64c | 1,537$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Yes | 37c | 1,263$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 748.15$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Yes | 37c | 584$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2cf9backed Yes | 37c | 507.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…f305backed Yes | 36c | 453.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994a…3538backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 50c | 405.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 64c | 279$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1ebbacked Yes | 37c | 262.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…b90ebacked Yes | 55c | 183.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 66c | 170.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…f0debacked Yes | 36c | 162.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…6632backed Yes | 36c | 140.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…67bebacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…3575backed Yes | 41c | 114.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1259…cadebacked Yes | 35c | 98.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 64c | 82.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 63c | 74.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Yes | 36c | 66.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 65c | 49.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…71a1backed Yes | 37c | 39.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…45f0backed Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed No | 62c | 29.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 216 | 72.2%156 W · 60 L | +28.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Magic vs. ClippersMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.