NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99234760ebfc2c6a1dba1f2f6b3c9ed81c46423e868aa2704484d8de7b71d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Over | 51c | 6,930$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.67 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,518$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 3,440$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,373$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 3,150$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 40c | 2,951$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,584$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 49c | 1,423$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.21 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 1,350$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 1,051$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 1,011$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 30c | 965.94$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 926.72$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…4a60backed Over | 48c | 169.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 10c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 47c | 124.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 47c | 115.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 106.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Under | 10c | 99.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 49c | 97.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 92.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 74.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 28c | 68.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 66.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 49c | 54.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 48.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 52c | 48.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 45c | 39.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Over | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…a12dbacked Over | 45c | 36.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 34.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 30.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…7ff0backed Under | 55c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. ClippersMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.