TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Clippers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers47c11,169$5,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Magic52c6,089$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.512343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Magic51c4,575$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.3338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Clippers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic48c3,576$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Clippers49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic56c2,652$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.711,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Magic54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1508460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Magic51c2,498$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.9144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers51c2,379$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers49c2,024$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers46c1,161$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c1,088$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Clippers49c1,075$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.618644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers47c1,041$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2713142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Clippers50c1,039$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.512536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Magic52c1,011$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Magic52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Magic52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Magic51c976.47$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.473951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers51c914.49$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.143,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Clippers49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44141742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Magic53c828.09$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Clippers44c779.55$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic53c653.15$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic59c614.36$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Magic47c586.79$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.913432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic53c583.21$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers45c578.71$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Magic53c495.96$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Clippers49c456.38$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers41c438.59$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Magic64c411.91$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Magic61c411.23$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Magic51c409.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.85750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Clippers46c406.52$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18716837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Magic60c377$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.481,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Magic54c371.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4722140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clippers42c367.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.061,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic54c331$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.592,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Magic56c314.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3312536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Magic61c313.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Magic54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers39c292.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Clippers46c285.09$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.142356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic51c280.1$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a9…2f1fbacked Magic64c268.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Magic47c240.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic51c227.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Clippers37c210.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6213128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Magic53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.728245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Magic64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7216743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Magic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005072%36 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Clippers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9816552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Magic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Magic66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6820746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed Magic51c198.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062568%17 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.26per pick42cpaid+52.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Magic51c179.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Magic57c177.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Magic55c170.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.521,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Magic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Clippers50c158.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8274547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers48c142.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.771,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Clippers46c135.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1516725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b60…7508backed Magic60c130.75$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Magic51c129.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.451,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Clippers47c122.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.677356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers46c119.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Magic68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6512458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d9c…8158backed Clippers44c111.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171816.7%3 W · 15 L-6.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Magic52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.87052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Clippers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Magic59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Clippers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Magic53c94.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8723446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Magic58c91.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.382458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Magic55c91.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.137848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Magic57c91.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Magic62c86.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers50c85.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Magic61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9721164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ce…dd2ebacked Magic54c74.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Clippers41c73.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…eb85backed Magic54c73.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Magic51c71.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Magic54c70.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Magic52c69.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4711060%66 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Clippers52c69.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9730743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers43c69.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.171,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Magic54c67.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers49c62.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.573,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Magic57c62.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7139864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Clippers48c62.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9929351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Magic65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Magic50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Magic51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.912151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf128…053bbacked Clippers54c53.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.