TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Clippers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers48c6,393$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Clippers52c5,660$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.7113142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic48c5,394$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic50c5,209$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Clippers53c4,485$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.063138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabea…ae4cbacked Clippers56c3,150$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Magic53c3,006$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.7838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Clippers47c2,407$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.2958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers49c2,142$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Magic47c2,098$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.0829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Magic50c1,940$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.552759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Clippers52c1,924$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Clippers45c1,557$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.6824744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers50c1,222$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Magic47c1,165$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.454647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers49c1,120$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Clippers45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers49c1,086$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Magic49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Magic49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers45c814.93$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Magic49c683.54$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers49c653.26$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers46c637.7$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.832,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers46c539.22$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.993,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic52c477.06$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Clippers45c473$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.856953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Magic47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.781,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers44c425.6$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers44c409.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e8…b97ebacked Clippers44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic52c388.16$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x282c…13f2backed Clippers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers49c333.78$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad0…8d6dbacked Clippers50c286.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Magic53c283.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd318…43d0backed Magic50c257.45$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic52c248.84$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.312,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Magic54c229.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6319548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed Magic50c215.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Magic50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Magic46c194$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.761,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa2…74ecbacked Clippers53c189.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9d…3fe1backed Clippers50c186.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Clippers51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.722540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers45c164.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.581,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Clippers8c149$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Magic55c134.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7122140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Magic49c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2842348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Clippers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked Clippers46c104.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.923622.2%8 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers48c104.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Magic46c103.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6917844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Clippers48c100.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1929352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Clippers43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Clippers49c88.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.326235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers40c81.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.441,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic49c75.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Magic53c71.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Clippers44c68.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Magic47c65.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3829351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Magic51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Clippers47c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1353839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Magic46c60.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4120355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Clippers45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Magic50c53.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Clippers52c50.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0925655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Magic53c46.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.918456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5639…7246backed Magic57c45.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.722759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic62c45.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec0…f051backed Clippers47c44.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Clippers54c39.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3250841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Clippers46c37.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5730743%132 W · 175 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Magic56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Clippers39c33.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Clippers45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Clippers53c31.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Clippers44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers51c27.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Magic55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers47c26.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.361,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic62c26.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers47c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Magic54c23.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.991,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed Magic56c22.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.793050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Clippers54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Magic55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Clippers52c19.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0930151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Magic58c18.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0314860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.