NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ebab7b9d28442300c738339087b08a210f4518c11bd3beaf7ab77725fbb36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Under | 0c | 76,590$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…447abacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…59edbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,657$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 5,922$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 5,667$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 5,120$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 50c | 3,316$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.84 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,920$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 52c | 2,870$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.6 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 2,849$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,564$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 2,152$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.25 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,827$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 53c | 947.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 919$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 763.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 754$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 52c | 672.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.91 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 52c | 469.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 189.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 49c | 101.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 73.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 51c | 66.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 60.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 49c | 55.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 33.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 32.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 52c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 51c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Over | 52c | 24.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…04c8backed Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. ClippersMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.