TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5dd…5a9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6556.9%37 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.46
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.55
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.2
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.49
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.25
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$16.61
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.43
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.16
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$15.85
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.34
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.16
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.92
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$9.88
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.05
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.