MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ddb1214cec71e2c162aa9823405bd778d4d62f6e493e3f532c09da3c3bac0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Kansas City Royals, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 99,999$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,999.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 61,200$34,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,928 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 48,043$26,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,619.44 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 31,110$13,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,192.67 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 30,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 28,275$12,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,354.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 24,669$10,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,854.36 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 20,080$9,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,036.19 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 18,616$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.48 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 16,198$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,451 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 13,351$7,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.79 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 11,905$7,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,959$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 10,044$7,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.03 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 9,776$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 8,893$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 8,808$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.73 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…1846backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 8,783$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 8,571$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.42 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 7,764$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 7,088$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3600backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 6,774$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 5,918$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 5,875$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.74 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 5,375$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 5,232$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.72 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,590$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 4,250$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 4,216$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 3,861$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.31 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 3,675$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,400$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,201$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.96 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,315$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 2,233$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.34 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 2,115$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,085$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.91 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,824$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.72 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 1,818$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.49 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,722$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.26 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,679$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.36 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,527$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,446$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.72 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,440$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.37 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,200$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,188$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.43 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 1,171$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 1,148$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 1,133$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,055$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,053$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.37 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 981.82$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.82 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 840$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 813.73$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 810.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 710.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…1c0cbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 698$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 684$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 667.73$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 665.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 662.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 629.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.39 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 608.95$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 601.67$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b769backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 599.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 589.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.