MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x465164549c12fb98b30920a8116c125cb3010d736b30342fdb5518a3326f7f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 52c | 202,403$104,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,379.59 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 100,000$48,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,004.89 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 52c | 88,954$46,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,256.17 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over | 48c | 75,145$36,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,075.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 48c | 72,917$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,916.67 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 20,761$9,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,795.72 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 20,354$9,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,588.1 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 7,357$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.45 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 4,422$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.73 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.66 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.31 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 1,841$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 1,505$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.49 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,447$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.47 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.64 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 840$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 48c | 744.68$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.48 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 508.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 421.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 324.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Over | 48c | 295$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 261.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 230.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 201.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 53c | 199$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 50c | 194.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 175.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 65c | 170.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 48c | 166.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 35c | 131.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 122.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 51c | 114.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 108.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 50c | 104.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 103.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 74.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 48c | 65.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b053backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 50c | 59.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 63c | 51.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 50c | 50.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 51c | 48.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 51c | 48.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 43.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 43.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 38.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 37.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 50c | 30.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 51c | 30.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…f942backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 50c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 63c | 21.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.