MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d2f01b5d4213ef67a0ad1cf4ed8705adc61f51c627770119fd33b8f490ad55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 154,881$71,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,504.14 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 132,208$71,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,815.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 24,568$11,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055.69 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 13,789$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.71 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 13,764$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.13 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 12,732$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.57 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 10,582$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.75 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 10,284$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.69 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,961$5,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.99 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 9,092$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,961$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 7,155$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.4 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 6,795$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.44 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,511$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.98 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 5,248$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,156$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.21 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 3,703$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.14 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,532$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.81 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 3,476$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,146$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.16 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.98 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 2,805$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.22 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 2,691$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…53b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,216$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 2,130$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,948$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.89 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,897$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.69 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,795$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,769$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.52 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,642$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.82 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,597$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.53 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 1,550$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,517$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.09 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,422$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,236$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.7 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,167$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 985$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 891.81$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 861.45$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 839.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 821.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 737$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 666.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 576.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 557.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.47 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 555.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 545.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 526$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 500$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 464.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 452$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 451.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 429.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 422.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 414.18$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 402.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 390.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 382.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 379$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 355$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 351.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 350.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 342.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 335.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 335.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 312.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.