TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,604 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers46c175,700$80,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,514.987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pelicans54c70,242$37,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,311.5323147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pelicans52c62,210$32,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,646.019655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pelicans54c34,968$18,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,180.0634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Pelicans55c20,911$11,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,409.956860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans51c14,732$7,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,177.61,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers48c11,545$5,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a8…5506backed Pelicans54c9,887$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Pelicans54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.2629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Pelicans54c8,704$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers48c8,548$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Pelicans54c7,958$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.655754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans53c7,165$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans54c6,800$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans54c6,557$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.3237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers48c6,199$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Pelicans54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers32c5,350$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers47c5,249$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans55c5,082$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.8270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans50c5,000$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.11,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Pelicans54c4,654$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.718749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans54c4,445$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pelicans54c4,387$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.031,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers47c4,315$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers45c3,886$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.8517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Clippers46c3,730$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.021,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Pelicans54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.78154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers49c2,888$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers46c2,774$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers47c2,751$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers47c2,715$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans54c2,454$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.972,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Pelicans54c2,317$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.6724450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7754…9709backed Clippers44c2,254$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans54c2,171$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.441,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Clippers46c2,072$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers50c2,042$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.591,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pelicans52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers46c1,880$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Pelicans54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.679952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Clippers46c1,448$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66617247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans54c1,442$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.582,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Clippers51c1,256$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.4780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Clippers50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57618651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Clippers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011433.3%38 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Pelicans51c971.41$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans51c939.56$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Pelicans56c896.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.214658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Clippers46c890.57$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers47c864.26$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Clippers49c778.27$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.354639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Pelicans54c697.32$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6715240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Clippers46c656$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7620051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Clippers52c653.85$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Clippers47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010342.7%44 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers48c557.93$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Pelicans54c505.64$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Clippers7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans51c484.07$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.193,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans54c439.91$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c382.51$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.753,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Pelicans48c324$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.484445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Clippers46c315.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans55c310$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Clippers45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Clippers47c272.62$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6134342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers45c271.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.231,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans54c218.95$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Clippers46c218.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3322048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers48c216.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.442,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Pelicans55c215.75$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Pelicans54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Clippers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c9…9befbacked Pelicans55c191.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Pelicans54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pelicans55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers47c153.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Clippers51c140$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Clippers46c118.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Pelicans55c112$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Clippers45c111.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Clippers45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pelicans50c106.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pelicans53c103.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.741,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Clippers47c102.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.323249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Pelicans56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Pelicans48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Clippers50c99.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8128943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pelicans54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7670…83aebacked Pelicans55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Clippers47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8311451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Clippers51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.358653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.