NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a60dd679567c2b4d908598ae7e6ed1d7ee4238366eea7263e89fb0d704088bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 53c | 310,467$164,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,326.87 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 47c | 212,000$99,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,360 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans | 47c | 76,765$35,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,029.19 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Clippers | 54c | 37,037$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Pelicans | 48c | 22,928$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,943.66 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 14,700$6,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,790.38 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 47c | 12,417$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Pelicans | 47c | 11,288$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.8 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 9,060$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 53c | 8,474$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers | 53c | 6,750$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.49 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 48c | 2,993$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,934$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,823$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 54c | 2,787$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.86 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 2,741$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,671$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.63 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.6 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,591$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.49 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Clippers | 55c | 1,210$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,128$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Clippers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 44c | 930.86$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Clippers | 55c | 895.17$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.55 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 50c | 882.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Clippers | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Clippers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Clippers | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers | 54c | 406.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 54c | 398.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Clippers | 54c | 369.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Clippers | 53c | 283.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Clippers | 54c | 274.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 46c | 264.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pelicans | 47c | 253.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pelicans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Clippers | 54c | 169.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 46c | 142.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Pelicans | 47c | 127.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Clippers | 54c | 107.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pelicans | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Pelicans | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Clippers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Clippers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Pelicans | 47c | 63.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans | 47c | 63.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…001ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 60.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans | 46c | 58.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Pelicans | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…5f26backed Pelicans | 47c | 47.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Clippers | 53c | 45.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Pelicans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Clippers | 54c | 41.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 46c | 37.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked Pelicans | 48c | 35.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Clippers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…214fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…0169backed Clippers | 54c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Pelicans | 48c | 23.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Clippers | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.