NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41436413e61e7ad439964f520518a7b4ce4a924fb8dbc7c8868170198cfd392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,903 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 52c | 7,214$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.82 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,595$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.76 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 44c | 981$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.64 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 835.78$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 54c | 833$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.18 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 626.13$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 47c | 560.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 509.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 504.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 482.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 364.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 355.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 278.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 240.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 187.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 186.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 166.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Under | 53c | 81.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 54.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Under | 53c | 43.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 44c | 33.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Over | 47c | 29.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.