NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e292f771b107a7e9c9e7dcfcf9729d21f763a7cb02dbc805d75cf01a0081ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 5,633$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 3,994$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.53 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 46c | 2,780$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.2 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,999$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 47c | 999.32$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 946$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 852.24$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 46c | 843.2$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.87 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 741.11$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 680.85$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 602.41$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 567.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 554.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.21 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 274.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 236.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 117.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 46c | 92.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Under | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 42.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 46c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 54c | 38.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 64c | 23.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…ebf8backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 54c | 21.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.