NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc148e9e3d337f0594a66db1d99b4f9ec0562a1370197a59fc8f6286235c08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 42,046$19,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,883.02 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 25,829$13,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,159.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 52c | 14,500$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.99 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 12,597$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.46 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 8,314$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 4,030$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 3,920$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.59 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 3,761$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 3,363$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,463$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 57c | 2,196$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,189$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 46c | 1,056$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.56 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 51c | 889$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.61 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Under | 49c | 440.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 380.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 337.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 252.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 221.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 214.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 193.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 49c | 190.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 48c | 181.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 175.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 167.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 46c | 150.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Under | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 47c | 118.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 95.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…8008backed Under | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 71.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 69.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 52c | 55.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 51c | 40.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Over | 53c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 32.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 31.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 49c | 24.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 54c | 24.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 55c | 22.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Under | 52c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.