TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,885 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Pelicans55c18,122$9,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,173.236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pelicans52c15,094$7,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,308.7417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Clippers47c10,750$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.57653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers47c7,086$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers48c7,044$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans50c6,994$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans52c5,380$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.42,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers46c5,092$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…cefdbacked Clippers51c4,101$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pelicans53c3,839$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.5116844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf611…854fbacked Clippers51c3,801$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers47c3,209$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…12bfbacked Pelicans50c3,068$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f88…2242backed Pelicans50c3,024$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472f…ff1abacked Clippers51c3,009$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Pelicans52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c3…40b4backed Clippers50c2,992$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6434…445bbacked Clippers50c2,978$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…778fbacked Clippers50c2,923$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada3…2036backed Pelicans50c2,880$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55a…8fd6backed Pelicans50c2,872$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb0…47a5backed Clippers51c2,808$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…d9fabacked Clippers50c2,792$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216f…30b6backed Clippers50c2,783$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x094c…b32ebacked Clippers50c2,774$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…6e6abacked Pelicans50c2,751$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9308…fcf6backed Pelicans50c2,647$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans56c2,567$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pelicans53c2,426$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.1434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4496…b5f0backed Pelicans49c2,313$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.634100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd699…1869backed Pelicans49c2,262$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467c…4ecbbacked Pelicans49c2,121$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Clippers44c1,829$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b0…69fdbacked Pelicans49c1,802$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f34…ea77backed Pelicans49c1,714$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f9…d97abacked Pelicans49c1,706$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ec…6713backed Pelicans49c1,688$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pelicans52c1,626$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.3980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans53c1,601$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…601ebacked Clippers51c1,590$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb537…21e6backed Clippers51c1,525$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c0…94e3backed Pelicans49c1,483$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers46c1,394$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Clippers42c1,345$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.913946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1940…8c8fbacked Pelicans49c1,313$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pelicans55c1,241$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.841,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers46c1,225$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers43c1,015$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.191,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans60c810.15$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.061,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans58c809$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.781,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Clippers48c796$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers45c766.55$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pelicans52c720.27$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7324247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Pelicans54c664.02$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans52c634$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers45c622.61$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Clippers47c603.83$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6321546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans51c590$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.120846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Clippers47c554.8$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9917041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Clippers50c501.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c495.77$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.283,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pelicans57c470.15$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.161,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clippers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e07…a8c0backed Pelicans49c432$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pelicans52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers47c354.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.071,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans58c344.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Clippers43c328$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Clippers48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Clippers47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9910645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers51c284.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Clippers47c256.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.777542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans50c237.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.511,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pelicans58c218.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6422048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans53c215.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Clippers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Clippers51c198.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers50c192.31$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.671,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Clippers52c191.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Clippers47c185.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.259345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers50c181.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans52c166.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Clippers43c164$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Clippers46c156.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Clippers46c150.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers44c125.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Clippers48c119.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6829344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Pelicans51c117.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.645347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Clippers45c117.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7213554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Clippers48c114.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.859855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pelicans51c110.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Clippers45c110.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5320049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers48c105.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.381,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Clippers47c100.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9111642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers47c91.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.672,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.