NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fd97d33611224d42532bb1805a9b083a6464d4e479a1cb59b606433e044b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 24,999$12,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,456.51 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 22,736$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,213.91 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 12,381$6,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,903$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 6,831$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 3,352$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 3,234$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 1,556$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.49 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 60c | 1,153$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 1,120$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 1,099$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 47c | 682.76$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.3 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 516.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 44c | 490$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 471$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 391.54$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 386$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 308.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 254.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 230$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 59c | 170.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 44c | 150.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 71c | 129$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 124.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 49c | 114.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 75.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 56.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked Under | 56c | 55.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 56c | 36.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Over | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 56c | 32.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 44c | 29.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 56c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…0e7fbacked Over | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 52c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 57c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5this page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.