TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,605 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c81,094$41,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,255.332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over3c51,718$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7088…8b9bbacked Over48c21,529$10,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,398.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c16,495$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c13,226$6,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,348.731,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c10,932$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c8,343$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c7,473$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.8670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c3,330$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.3937747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c3,217$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Over48c3,091$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over48c2,742$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3305046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over48c2,738$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.199952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over48c2,680$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over48c2,490$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.673943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over48c2,202$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.0236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Over48c2,070$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7eeebacked Over48c1,631$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over48c1,509$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.853831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over48c1,480$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2510651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over48c1,283$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over48c1,177$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56521355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over48c1,139$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Under64c1,012$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9910239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over39c934.17$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c756.06$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c726.56$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under62c568.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0227158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over35c530$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.621,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under53c519.69$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over46c480.14$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c427.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c425$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c424.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Over46c406.47$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1894740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over48c341.98$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1513554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over42c305.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over46c263.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12113155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c246$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.161,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over43c237.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over46c220.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over46c216.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under54c211.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.69427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over35c195$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Under52c192.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under53c185.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c176.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c174.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Under58c172.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6131954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under59c155.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c141.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c138.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under55c133.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0b…16e6backed Over45c132$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over48c108.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0120949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Over48c93.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c86.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over48c80.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6220350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed Over39c78.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.044551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c80…efb9backed Over48c75.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c72.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c68.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ec…d39abacked Under55c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Over47c63.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under58c63.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over48c62.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11f…f01cbacked Over41c60.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.743647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c58.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Under53c56.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.715251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c55.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c54.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under52c54.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0421645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c52.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9662049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over35c50.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5569337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over46c49.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over49c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6827345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6832947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.814443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over46c37.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3243…365fbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+69.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0422336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over48c32.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.696440.6%26 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68d3…7cb3backed Under55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over48c31.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Over48c30.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over35c30.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.