NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381d217706c356e08fed1d2173d0c68c8935fe0f1f30af79c3e894921b0e9550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Clippers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,085 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Clippers | 2c | 11,100$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Clippers | 1c | 8,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Clippers | 2c | 7,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Clippers | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed Clippers | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Clippers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Clippers | 2c | 2,914$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Clippers | 8c | 2,800$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Clippers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Clippers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Clippers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 57c | 1,830$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.15 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Clippers | 7c | 1,800$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Clippers | 6c | 1,684$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 43c | 1,511$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Clippers | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.85 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Clippers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Clippers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Clippers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Clippers | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Clippers | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Clippers | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Clippers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Clippers | 5c | 600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Clippers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Clippers | 8c | 360$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Clippers | 27c | 200.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Clippers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Clippers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Clippers | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Clippers | 54c | 198.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Clippers | 14c | 180.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…4482backed Pelicans | 75c | 143.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Clippers | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Pelicans | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pelicans | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Clippers | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Clippers | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 43c | 78.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pelicans | 75c | 73.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Pelicans | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pelicans | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4198backed Pelicans | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Clippers | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Pelicans | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Clippers vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.