MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e8913c7d7ebf80df9c3888dd228cff35ce1c566adb72af504c37cea3fe4f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 125,256$66,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,054.29 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 58,309$27,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,903.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 30,294$14,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,056.06 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 71c | 29,771$21,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,546.11 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 26,667$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,866.84 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 17,915$8,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 47c | 15,563$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 15,001$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 14,877$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.86 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 27c | 14,869$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 48c | 11,543$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 57c | 10,399$5,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 9,557$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,931$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 5,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 4,461$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Houston Astros | 75c | 4,443$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 4,029$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,577$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,192$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.65 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,857$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.36 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 2,728$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 2,616$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…7c2abacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,301$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,167$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Houston Astros | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.88 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 1,812$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,632$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.22 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,590$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.7 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 1,544$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…3c86backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,495$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.59 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,310$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,201$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…2d94backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,074$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 1,021$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Houston Astros | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 901.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 56c | 889.68$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 799.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Houston Astros | 52c | 794.64$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…e09dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 787.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 757.31$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 45c | 714.97$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 684.79$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 66c | 654.9$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 653.7$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 647.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 568.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 564$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 518.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 513.33$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 504.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 497.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 491.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 485.45$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 457.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 441.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 419.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…c1d1backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 64c | 392.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Houston Astros | 47c | 389.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 388.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 60c | 378.48$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 47c | 375.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 368.22$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 68c | 357$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 319.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 311.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.