MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43db636ca9a51921f50929bf353bc85ecf853a0fa44a966763ac2d08276af0d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 43,613$23,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,164.83 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Over | 53c | 23,333$12,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,966.51 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 46c | 21,524$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 20,610$9,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,732.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 8,356$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.76 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 7,051$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 5,894$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 5,314$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 3,503$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 3,290$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,691$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 46c | 2,098$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 1,800$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 1,797$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.62 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 38c | 1,551$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.62 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,551$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 1,195$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,081$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.93 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 1,063$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.25 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 1,023$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 998.39$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.35 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 930.67$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 47c | 607.34$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 561.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 559.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 60c | 553.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 46c | 429.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 386.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Over | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 300.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 299$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 285.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 53c | 243.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 219.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 219.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 50c | 213.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 30c | 211.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 168.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 64c | 167.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 32c | 138.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 128.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 114.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 42c | 109.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 94.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 35c | 91.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 32c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 48c | 68.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 47c | 63.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 63.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 63.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Under | 60c | 62.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 54.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 54.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 53.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Over | 57c | 49.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Over | 51c | 42.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Under | 58c | 42.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 32c | 36.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 49c | 35.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 35c | 33.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 33.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…a7b6backed Under | 46c | 32.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 65c | 31.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Under | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Under | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 33c | 31.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 30.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f5ecbacked Under | 43c | 30.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 50c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over | 53c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.