TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over54c43,613$23,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,164.831,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over53c23,333$12,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,966.5138148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under46c21,524$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c20,610$9,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,732.492,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under46c8,356$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.7692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c7,051$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.834,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c5,894$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.5810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c5,314$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.0711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c3,503$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.263,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c3,290$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.76,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,691$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under46c2,098$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.221643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c1,800$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.898,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c1,797$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.624,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over38c1,551$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.6211748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c1,551$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.878,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over43c1,195$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.085,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,081$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9368053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c1,063$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2527254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,023$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over53c998.39$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.352,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c930.67$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.115,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under47c607.34$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.458648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under40c561.88$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.751,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c559.35$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.092,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over60c553.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.191,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under47c530$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.117446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.738455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under46c429.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.772,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under46c420$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4712940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.171,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over40c386.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.748,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Over53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.754942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c300.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.141,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over53c299$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.533,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c285.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.251,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over53c243.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0166056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under42c219.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under42c219.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Over50c213.51$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.412857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under30c211.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.831,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c168.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.381,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over64c167.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over32c138.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.421,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c128.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.981,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c114.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.224,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under42c109.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0244744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7725149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c94.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.552,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under35c91.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over32c86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.484,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under48c68.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4840148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under47c63.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9220156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c63.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c63.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.792,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Under60c62.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5312746.5%59 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…53a7backed Over55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c59.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under47c54.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under43c54.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.473,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over54c53.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3931258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Over57c49.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under35c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under35c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89851%50 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1725748.2%124 W · 133 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.314946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Over51c42.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.068140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…95afbacked Under58c42.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over32c36.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.053,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under49c35.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3429553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over54c34.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9370154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.222,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under35c33.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.891952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c33.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…a7b6backed Under46c32.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Over59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1220962.7%131 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under65c31.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5825260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x856e…438abacked Under47c31.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…3893backed Under47c31.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under33c31.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1513946.8%65 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over39c30.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x111e…f5ecbacked Under43c30.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over44c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8434754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under50c29.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5814344.8%64 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over54c20.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4472655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over53c20.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.658651.2%44 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.