TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over45c16,799$7,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,252.0238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c8,325$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.4211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under55c8,264$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.9332451.9%168 W · 156 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under56c5,111$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.091,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under57c4,764$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.552,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c4,751$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.868,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Under58c4,288$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024146.1%111 W · 130 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c2,792$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Over44c2,730$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over45c2,715$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.2523738%90 W · 147 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c2,198$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.488,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c2,056$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.6795950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c1,481$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.056,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Under56c1,455$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64887453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over46c1,191$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.2249358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,173$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.225,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c1,166$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0599924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over48c923.33$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.955052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over44c914$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.722,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c858.05$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.562,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over26c832.84$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.798,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c780.58$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.554,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c719.79$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.691,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c700$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.46,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under54c649$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4627449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c567.52$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.022,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over45c563.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.831650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under54c550.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038453.6%206 W · 178 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over46c521.64$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.953,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c449$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4855253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over46c432.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.861,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c410.5$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c396.16$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9365749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over53c359.89$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1514344.8%64 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Under55c340.25$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c303.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.62,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over41c292.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6811244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over41c283.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4129043.1%125 W · 165 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ba…8e5cbacked Over45c267.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.931070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over39c261$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.214,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over51c254.81$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.861,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under55c245.02$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over47c196.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.022850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011047.3%52 W · 58 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c186.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.689,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c185$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c160.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over46c129.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd368…b45dbacked Under56c116.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c115.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.622,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over45c103.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0566056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c103.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8223248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c100.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Under51c97.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under56c89.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c89.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c88.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.122,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c73.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.745,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over48c71.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.012,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.546557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under71c69.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8325260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over50c66.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.349752.6%51 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over45c60.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b20…fce1backed Under56c55.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under53c53.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c51.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked Over44c45.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.483237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Over40c45.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.478140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb021…4aabbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…fc85backed Over41c42.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c42.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.682,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over48c42.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0511346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over33c39.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.352,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed Under51c36.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.427454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.746,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c34.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.821,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Over45c34.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.299947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over45c29.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7946…5d90backed Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x111e…f5ecbacked Under52c25.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under55c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325356.9%144 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under58c22.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3843954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.