MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926ca1126a9c3211614892eed2f7655d78088f7951cc169f1f18da701c208798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Over | 45c | 16,799$7,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,252.02 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 8,325$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.42 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 55c | 8,264$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.93 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 5,111$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.09 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 57c | 4,764$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.55 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 4,751$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.86 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 58c | 4,288$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 2,792$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 44c | 2,730$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 45c | 2,715$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.25 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 2,198$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.48 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 2,056$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.67 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 1,481$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.05 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Under | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 46c | 1,191$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.22 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,173$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.22 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 1,166$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.05 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 48c | 923.33$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.9 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 914$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.72 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 858.05$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 26c | 832.84$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.79 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 780.58$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.55 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 719.79$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 700$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 649$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 45c | 567.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.02 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 45c | 563.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 550.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 521.64$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 449$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 432.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.86 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 410.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 396.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 53c | 359.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 55c | 340.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 303.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 41c | 283.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…8e5cbacked Over | 45c | 267.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 261$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 51c | 254.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 245.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 47c | 196.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 186.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 160.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 46c | 129.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…b45dbacked Under | 56c | 116.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 115.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 45c | 103.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 103.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 100.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 56c | 89.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 89.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 88.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 73.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 48c | 71.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 50c | 66.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 45c | 60.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…fce1backed Under | 56c | 55.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 53.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 51.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Over | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Over | 40c | 45.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Over | 41c | 42.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 42.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Over | 48c | 42.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 33c | 39.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed Under | 51c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 34.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over | 45c | 34.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 45c | 29.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…5d90backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f5ecbacked Under | 52c | 25.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.