TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5079…e560

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT7454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.44
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.07
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+609.2%+$121.84
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+77%+$30.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+213.5%+$85.39
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.