MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa7302604d3c9a99f3a99b67158c09e2be13437377ec5eb5524ce0a12118445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Baltimore Orioles, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 90,000$45,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,099.94 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 79,457$38,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,933.79 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 33,081$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.41 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 17,700$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 17,581$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.74 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 13,868$9,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.06 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 9,709$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.21 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 9,127$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.62 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 8,186$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.84 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 6,975$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 6,535$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,901$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.49 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 4,718$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.95 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 3,853$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.62 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,718$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.42 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 3,647$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,590$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.91 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,525$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.26 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,480$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 3,477$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.38 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 3,125$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.92 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,767$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,761$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.73 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 2,717$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.13 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,704$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,702$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,141$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,104$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.57 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.03 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,948$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.45 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,913$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.45 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,744$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.25 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,607$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,537$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,526$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…3d1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 1,444$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,300$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 1,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…d08fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 1,261$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,033$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.37 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 970.28$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 934.66$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 844.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 731.37$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.37 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 711.75$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.64 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 661.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 634.38$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 621.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 615$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 482.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 479.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 475.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 427.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 419.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…da9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 402.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…8a37backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 400$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 392.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 375.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 367.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 362$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 360.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 346.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 341.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 340.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 337$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 336.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 306.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 298.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 267.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 258.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 248.02$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 248$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 236.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.