MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfbddb23bd754439cf93f280a90f433da22328fdf68f2f1241206fb53ac77b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 49c | 325,228$159,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,361.49 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 51c | 203,921$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,921.29 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 57,297$29,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,115.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 51c | 49,020$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,019.61 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 12,201$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.54 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 7,588$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…d0c6backed Over | 74c | 3,426$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 23c | 2,960$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Under | 55c | 2,578$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 47c | 2,242$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.07 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 48c | 1,981$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 57c | 1,816$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.39 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 1,683$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 1,683$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 50c | 1,376$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.87 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 51c | 1,199$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 960.12$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 877.59$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 874.38$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 859.71$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 821.58$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.79 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 50c | 754.37$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 671.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 78c | 638.22$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 632.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 51c | 611.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 50c | 552$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Under | 59c | 489.12$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 485.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 470.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 312.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 51c | 282.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 51c | 277.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 48c | 257.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 43c | 253.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 51c | 244.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 201.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 51c | 173.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 23c | 169$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…9903backed Under | 48c | 166.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 148.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…b9c4backed Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 108.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Over | 53c | 105.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 13c | 88.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…da4cbacked Over | 51c | 87.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 51c | 84.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…e5a0backed Under | 25c | 84.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…a143backed Under | 48c | 82.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 51c | 81.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 51c | 77.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…13dabacked Under | 51c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 33c | 66.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…8271backed Over | 52c | 63.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…3071backed Over | 51c | 62.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 72c | 57.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 47c | 53.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under | 48c | 52.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…bfa8backed Over | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 51.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 51.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.