TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c7f…8a37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$212.61
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$95.28
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.45
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$94.08
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.19
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$32.7
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$218.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.12
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$179.99
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$363.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$467.47
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,326
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.39
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.23
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.97
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.6
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.3
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.87
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$1,022.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$84.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$170.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$112.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.