TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof NRG, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$652,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ79c37,486$29,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,694.9422468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG17c29,380$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.843,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed MOUZ80c23,300$18,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,757.2414763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked MOUZ79c18,152$14,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.447054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG18c15,545$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.41,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed NRG18c12,000$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.421135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG15c11,949$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.915,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ75c11,932$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.5733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed NRG19c11,111$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.0833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG26c10,605$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.425,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG22c8,931$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.862,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked NRG20c8,137$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.1466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked MOUZ65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NRG15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9872046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG19c7,862$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5201,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG20c7,603$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.252,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked NRG16c7,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20016245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG23c7,463$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.9487847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG20c7,442$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.391,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG18c6,496$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.732,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed NRG25c6,061$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.2314042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96078939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked NRG17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed NRG15c5,916$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1317045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG21c5,763$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.8965351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed NRG27c5,729$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.1878043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG20c5,359$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.182,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG24c5,090$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.734,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed NRG18c5,002$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG15c4,866$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.191,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed MOUZ77c4,555$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.797965.8%52 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked NRG35c4,474$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.96947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG16c4,070$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.672,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG14c4,039$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.715,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG26c3,842$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.051,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG27c3,485$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.451,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG17c3,108$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.52,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG28c3,033$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.1189546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked NRG30c2,831$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG16c2,812$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked NRG15c2,754$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.11650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+310.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NRG14c2,634$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.832,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked NRG2c2,605$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.941102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed NRG14c2,587$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NRG22c2,351$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked MOUZ78c2,344$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.443860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG21c2,329$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.176,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed NRG18c2,300$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG18c2,177$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.145,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG20c2,134$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG28c2,067$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.242,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked NRG30c1,940$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.147441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked NRG14c1,870$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed NRG26c1,795$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.1822253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed NRG26c1,706$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0942854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG14c1,645$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.814,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed NRG20c1,630$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.214242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG19c1,532$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.823,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed NRG25c1,512$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38438835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed MOUZ76c1,512$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2415050%75 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed NRG13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19555736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed NRG1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed NRG17c1,500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked MOUZ67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.796256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked MOUZ65c1,472$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ78c1,324$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29133949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed NRG38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed NRG25c1,304$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7826147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8afcbacked NRG15c1,300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed MOUZ80c1,271$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.222462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked NRG11c1,228$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed NRG19c1,208$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.889533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44445455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MOUZ67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0349251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa739…725abacked NRG1c1,123$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked NRG18c1,122$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027851.4%143 W · 135 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed NRG20c1,110$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ67c1,105$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.728657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ71c1,061$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.71,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed NRG19c1,056$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked NRG13c1,010$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed NRG12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed NRG16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed NRG18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked NRG1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed MOUZ72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NRG19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NRG33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33098352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed NRG35c825.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.058161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed MOUZ74c820.84$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4212154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ80c819.79$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9628261.3%173 W · 109 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed NRG26c804.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked NRG13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked NRG26c761.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7ea…6a44backed NRG9c735$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.891040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed NRG20c730.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1412027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked NRG16c728.24$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.524242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked NRG23c715$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.448319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed MOUZ73c682.86$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3716761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.