CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a6c76fb8dab511805464d246541b118da39defaa8a05c3ca146849dd2674ef

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof NRG, MOUZ
Resolved: May 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,078 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed NRG	11c	7,669$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.98	1,396	38.9%543 W · 853 L	-41.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ	80c	6,250$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed NRG	19c	4,754$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed NRG	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.66	180	56.7%102 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ	79c	3,000$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked NRG	19c	2,565$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.44	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG	16c	2,257$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.54	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG	7c	2,039$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.72	2,205	47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed NRG	15c	2,000$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.89	454	55.1%250 W · 204 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked MOUZ	80c	1,737$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.49	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed NRG	20c	1,669$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.76	112	65.2%73 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG	8c	1,318$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.92	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG	14c	1,301$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.34	887	46.7%414 W · 473 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked NRG	20c	1,294$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.89	214	24.8%53 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG	14c	1,250$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG	20c	1,140$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	537	46.2%248 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed MOUZ	79c	1,093$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.57	289	60.6%175 W · 114 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NRG	13c	1,055$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.19	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG	19c	1,050$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed NRG	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	184	42.9%79 W · 105 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,408	33.7%475 W · 933 L	+43.0wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NRG	20c	850$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked NRG	11c	827.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.84	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ	80c	823.56$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.71	5,028	55%2,763 W · 2,265 L	+112.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG	19c	729$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.51	604	34.1%206 W · 398 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a4…cde3backed NRG	5c	715.52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG	20c	702.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.6	648	52%337 W · 311 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG	9c	702.51$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.78	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed NRG	19c	679.84$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.17	120	27.5%33 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG	19c	556.54$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.74	395	48.6%192 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f9…40cfbacked NRG	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed NRG	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	388	35.6%138 W · 250 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc6c6…492bbacked NRG	11c	421$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed NRG	9c	410$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	448	39.1%175 W · 273 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked NRG	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	640	58.1%372 W · 268 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed NRG	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	417	16.5%69 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed NRG	14c	397.19$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c2e…d554backed NRG	16c	380.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed NRG	19c	362.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	372	32.5%121 W · 251 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked NRG	13c	349.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	538	59.3%319 W · 219 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed NRG	19c	321.05$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	219	47.5%104 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed NRG	13c	318$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.34	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG	8c	312.55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked NRG	19c	299.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	312	53.5%167 W · 145 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG	18c	286$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	1,109	50.5%560 W · 549 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked NRG	11c	280$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed NRG	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed NRG	7c	212.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG	20c	200.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	1,621	44.8%726 W · 895 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked NRG	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked NRG	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked NRG	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed NRG	14c	169.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	340	36.5%124 W · 216 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd54…733bbacked NRG	7c	160$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed NRG	9c	154.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-7.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda5f…8e98backed NRG	8c	152.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed NRG	12c	133.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	339	49%166 W · 173 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked NRG	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	264	57.2%151 W · 113 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed MOUZ	80c	122.5$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed NRG	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	67.5%79 W · 38 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed NRG	20c	99.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked NRG	21c	89.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	386	36%139 W · 247 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…5dc0backed NRG	14c	85.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae0…b443backed NRG	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed NRG	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	426	51.6%220 W · 206 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed NRG	20c	68.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	247	56.7%140 W · 107 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3127…6f1bbacked NRG	20c	64.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked NRG	21c	62.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG	19c	61.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	5,474	46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L	+38.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed MOUZ	80c	57.18$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6725…1bf9backed NRG	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed MOUZ	80c	17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event